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BREAKING: Fuel Price Volatility May Pile Pressure On Economy — Report

Despite efforts at making re­duction in price of petrol in the last four weeks by Dangote Refinery and the Nigerian Na­tional Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), a report has revealed that petrol price may pile more pressure on the economy in the year.......CONTINUE READING THE ARTICLE FROM THE SOURCE>>>>>

SBM Intelligence in its lat­est report titled, ‘The Price of Everything 2025’, said Nigeria has experienced a relentless rise in petrol prices over the past decade.

The report revealed a 69.9 percent increase in petrol costs within the past year alone.

This surge, it said, has trig­gered a ripple effect across var­ious sectors, driving up trans­portation expenses, inflating food prices, and exacerbating the country’s cost-of-living cri­sis.

According to SBM Intelli­gence’s report, Nigeria’s infla­tion rate soared to 33.2 percent in 2024, marking a near 30-year high.

“The escalation in fuel pric­es has been a major driver of this inflationary pressure, with transportation costs more than doubling within the reporting period.

“The increased cost of moving goods and people has contributed significantly to food price spikes, with staple items like local rice (82%), for­eign rice (73.7%), and noodles (91.3%) witnessing alarming price hikes.

“The cost of petrol is no lon­ger just about fueling cars; it’s fueling inflation, poverty, and economic instability,” the SBM Intelligence report stated.

“When transport costs rise, every sector feels the heat, from food markets to small busi­nesses. Nigerians are being squeezed at every turn.”

The domino effect of rising fuel prices is particularly evi­dent in Nigeria’s agricultural sector. Farmers and traders, who rely on road transport to move produce from rural areas to urban markets, have faced crippling logistics costs, forcing them to pass these costs onto consumers, the re­port noted.

The report added that in­security, flooding, and naira devaluation have further com­pounded the issue, pushing millions of Nigerians below the poverty line.

Additionally, the report highlights the social conse­quences of inflation, including a 144 percent increase in the price of sanitary pads, which has deepened the problem of period poverty in Nigeria.

With many families pri­oritising food over hygiene products, young girls are in­creasingly forced to use unsafe alternatives, leading to health risks and disruptions in edu­cation.

Despite rising costs across multiple sectors, telecommuni­cations emerged as one of the few industries that maintained price stability throughout 2024.

Data and call rates remained unchanged for major mobile networks, providing a rare financial relief for Nigerians battling economic hardship.

However, a recent 50 percent tariff hike approved by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) in Janu­ary 2025 threatens to disrupt this stability.

Looking ahead, the SBM report warns that fuel price volatility will continue to exert pressure on the economy in 2025, particularly as domestic food production declines.

However, the anticipated full-scale operation of the Dan­gote Refinery and government intervention in the forex mar­ket could offer some relief in the long term, it said.

For now, as petrol prices keep rising, the cost of surviv­al in Nigeria remains an uphill battle, the analysts said.

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